ANNEX G
There are two types of outer bund walls and their details are shown below.
Objectives: The objectives of the trial were to simulate
bund overtopping events and to demonstrate how far fuel spilled within the
inner bund could potentially reach if it (1) splashed from the Emergency Access
Road over the outer bund onto the adjacent grassed area and (2) then
splashed from the area within the Inner Bund to the emergency
access road (and thereafter into the stormwater drain). The trial used water discharged through a
fire hose to simulate spilled fuel.
Scenario 1 – Water splash splashing from
inner bund the
Emergency Access Road over the outer bund onto the adjacent
grassed area
between site boundary and Scenic Road (Picture G3.1).
G3.1 Grassed area between site boundary and Scenic Road
G3.2 Simulation of
water splashing from the inner bund the Emergency Access
Road over the outer bund onto the adjacent
grassed area
between site boundary and Scenic Road
G3.3 Water splashing over the outer bund toward Scenic Road
G3.4 After water splashes over the outer bund some is absorbed by the grassed area with most draining to the open channel drainage along site boundary
G3.5 Inspection after liquid splashes over the outer bund confirmed that water reached approximately half of the width of the grassed area but not Scenic Road
Scenario 2 – Water splashing from the area within the inner bund to the emergency access road within the tank farm
At the east end of the Administration building, water was discharged eastwards at ground level via a fire hose onto the emergency access road for 10 minutes (the discharge rate was about 1m3 per minute). The hose direction was then changed to south, i.e. along the emergency access road) for another 10 minutes. The result demonstrated that water collected near and drained into the gulley provided along the emergency access road within the tank farm. The distance from the gulley to the cable car is about 200m
G3.6 Water splashing from the area within the inner bund to the emergency access road
within the tank farm
G3.7 Water spreading area
G3.8 Water spreading area
The probability of aircraft incident at the tank farm is very unlikely. This is supported by an analysis using the methodology adopted for assessing the aircraft crash frequency in the Hazard Assessments studies of Water Treatment Work (WTW) in Sha Tin. In the study, the methodology was that of Phillips (1987) and the model took into account specific factors including the ‘target’ area (in this case, area of Tank Farm), the radial distance from the runway end (R, in km) and its angle from the runway axis (q). The empirical function is shown below:
F = {Crash Rate} x {f(R, q)} x {Proportion of flights in specified direction} x
{Proportion of flights on specified runway} x {Number of flights} x
{Target area of the Tank Farm}
Where f(R, q) = 0.23 exp (-R/5) exp (-|q|/5)
According to the information obtained from the Civil Aviation Department (CAD), the 2 parallel runways (commonly called the North Runway and the South Runway) are both used for arrival and departure in a segregated mode. Based on the New Airport Master Plan, Environmental Impact Assessment Update, the proportion of flights in a specified direction on specified runway is 0.55 and 0.45 for aircraft landing from the west and landing from the east respectively.
An Approach Crash Rate (1.2 E-08) has taken into account the most recent data held by the US National Transportation Safety Board for aircraft accidents involving US carriers and findings of Table H1 of the Sha Tin WTW report is adopted for the estimation of crash frequency in different directions. Calculation details are shown in the following table using the following data:
Target area of Tank Farm inner bund = 26038 m2 = 2.6E-02 km2
Proportion of flights landing from the West = 0.55
Proportion of flights landing from the East = 0.45
Assumed Proportion of flights on specified runway = 0.5
Number of flights = 98423 (based on 2001 statistics)
|
Direction |
R (km) |
q (Degree) |
f(R, q) |
Frequency (per year) |
Southern Runway |
3.24 |
40 |
4.04E-05 |
2.79x10-10 |
|
From West |
1.45 |
20 |
3.15E-03 |
2.66x10-8 |
|
Northern Runway |
From East |
4.12 |
58 |
9.24E-07 |
6.39x10-12 |
From West |
2.92 |
40 |
4.30E-05 |
3.63x10-10 |
The calculation shows that the frequency of a crash is 2.7x10-8 per year (ie on the southern runway approaching from the west).
It must be stressed that the site of the tank farm is surrounded by buildings and a hill 68m high on the south east quadrant which provides a shielding that reduces further the chance of a direct hit on the tanks farm by aircraft. In addition, the aircraft would needs to fly through a narrow gap between the hill and surrounding building in order to hit the tanks. Furthermore, aircraft movements at HKIA are carefully controlled by air traffic controllers who will not permit any low flying aircrafts from flying over or close to the tank farm, thus further reducing the possibility of aircraft striking the tanks.
Considering
the location of the tank farm and the taking off directions, it is very
unlikely that the tank farm would be hit by an aircraft.t.Therefore, the
potential hazard of the tank farm being struck by aircraft during taking off is
not considered any further.
Taking the above factors into account and
based on the best judgement, the
frequency of an aircraft accident resulting in a direct hit on the farm is
below 1x10-9 per year. which is the
frequency cut-off value in the Risk Criteria shown in Annex G6. Therefore, the
potential hazard of the tank farm being struck by aircraft is not considered
any further.
Data Set |
Fuel Type |
Pool Dia. (m) |
Wind Speed (m/s) |
Flame Tilt Angle (degree) |
Flame Length (m) |
P5.1 |
Av. fuel |
9.0x15.0 |
2.0 |
|
30 |
P14.1 |
Av. fuel |
25 |
0.0 |
|
15 |
P14.3 |
Av. fuel |
10.2 |
10 |
60 |
10.5 |
D2.3 |
Kerosene |
20 |
4.5 |
40 |
34 |
D25.6 |
Kerosene |
30 |
3.0 |
23-40 |
|
D25.7 |
Kerosene |
50 |
3.5 |
23-40 |
|
D36.2 |
Kerosene |
22.9 |
2.0 |
|
~40 |
(Remarks: only data with pool diameters greater 10m were extracted for analysis)
As shown in the above table, the maximum recorded tilt angle is 60o, thus any fire at distance greater than L(m) should pass over the cable cabin and L is determined by
tan 30o = (43m/Lm)
where 43m is the height of the cable cabin
300 = 90o – maximum recorded tilt angle
L is the horizontal distance between the fire and cable cabin
Thus L = 75m
L = 75m