A3                                      Definition of a Reasonable Worst-case Odour Scenario

A3.1                                Introduction

A sensitivity test and further analysis were performed to identify a set of assumptions which together form a reasonable worst case scenario for the odour impact assessment.  The following sections present the assumption, modelling parameters and test results.

A3.2                                Assumptions in Sensitivity Test

A3.2.1                          Odour Emission Rates

Temperature is one of the factors which are thought to affect the strength of the odour emission.  In the odour impact assessment (see Section 4.6.3), the odour emission rates of a reasonable high temperature were used in order to represent a reasonable worst case scenario.  Our starting assumption was that 30°C was a reasonable worst case and sensitivity analyses were performed to test this.

By reviewing the SENT landfill meteorological data recorded in 2006, the number of hours having the ambient temperature lower than 30°C was about 90% of the year.  Odour samples were taken at around 30°C in many instances.  The odour emission rates of each odour source at 30°C are summarized in Table A3.1.

Table A3.1      Odour Emission Rates at 30°C

Odour Source

Odour Emission Rate at 30°C (OUm-2s-1)

Source Area in Model

Operation Time

Remarks

Tipping face for MSW + construction waste

0.94

30m x 20m

08:00 – 12midnight

Average of measured odour emission rates (0.7 + 1.01+1.11)/3 = 0.94

Tipping face for construction waste / daily cover area

0.12

30m x 20m
30m x 40m (for daily cover area)

08:00 – 12midnight
12midnight – 8am in the next day (daily cover area)

Measured odour emission rate at 29.55°C

Special waste trench (trench itself)

31.74

6m x 2.5m (plan area exposed to air)

09:00 – 18:00

Adjusted from 26.7°C to 30°C (a)

SBR tank

0.049

20m x 35m
(2 nos.)

24 hours

Measured odour emission rate (b)

Notes:

(a)     Similar approach for adjusting the emission rate adopted in the approved EIA Report for Agreement No. CE 20/2004 (EP) North East New Territories Landfill Extension (EIA 133/2007) is referenced but highest percentage increase of odour emission rates established from active tipping face and daily cover is adopted rather than the increment of odour emission rates per 1°C used in NENT Landfill Extension EIA.  The highest percentage increase of odour emission rates per 1°C established by daily cover is 2.68% which is the highest.  This % increase is adopted to project odour emission rate of special waste trench from 26.47°C to 30°C (28.91 OU/m/s x 1.0268 (30-26.47) = 31.74 OU/m/s).

(b)     As the temperature of the leachate in the SBR tanks is kept at 40°C at any time, therefore, it will not be varied by the ambient temperature.

Of note, the measured odour emission rate of special waste trench at the existing SENT Landfill is high as sludge is being disposed in the existing SENT Landfill.  The Extension will not accept sludge and hence the odour emission of special waste trench during the Extension should be much lower.  Also, in the outline design, the trench will be covered by a movable cover with retractable or suitable opening for unloading of special waste.  The air trapped inside the trench will be extracted and scrubbed prior to discharge to the atmosphere.  Therefore, the odour emission rate of special waste trench adopted in the assessment is conservative.  The odour emission from special waste trench of the Extension is expected to be much lower than that adopted in the assessment.

The source height of each odour source except SBR tanks was assumed to be 10mPD.  The source height of the SBR is 5m above ground level where the ground level is 6mPD.

Three emission locations (Cases 1 to 3) are selected, as shown in Figure A3.1, for the prediction of the odour impacts at TKO Area 137 and TVB City. 

Figure A3.1              Location of Odour Emission Sources

A3.2.2                          Modelling Parameters

The following assumptions are adopted for the prediction of odour impact:

·            AUSPLUME model used;

·            Surface roughness  is assumed to be 120cm (assuming TKO Area 137 is occupied by either fill bank or industrial premises)

·            Hourly meteorological data in 2006

-        SENT landfill data : wind speed, wind direction and air temperature

-        Hong Kong Observatory data: stability class recorded at TKO station and mixing height recorded at King’s Park station (as it is the only station to record mixing height)

·            Terrain data included and “Egan Half Height” option selected;

·            Conversion factor to convert the predicted 3-minute results to 5-second results

-        Factors of 10 and 5 applied to stability classes A-B and C-F, respectively

A3.2.3                          Assessment Points

ASRs, A1-1, A1-2 (1) (TKO Area 137 at south of Extension), A1-3 (1) (south of TVB) and A2 (TVB City) were selected as the focus of the sensitivity test.  Their locations are illustrated in Figure A3.1.

A3.3                                Sensitivity Test Results

The highest predicted 5-second odour levels at the selected four assessment points are presented in Tables A3.2.  The worst hours of the highest predicted results and the air temperature at that worst hours record at SENT Landfill onsite weather station are also presented.

Table A3.2      Predicted Maximum 5-second Odour Level & Corresponding Air Temperature for 2006 at A1-1, A1-2 (1), A1-3 (1) and A2 (1.5m above ground)

 

A1-1

A1-2 (1)

A1-3 (1)

A2

Case 1

Highest 5-sec Odour Level

6.1 (a)

7.9

2.4

1.9

Worst Hour

27/11/06, hr 13

28/05/06, hr19

18/07/06, hr 23

11/07/06, hr 20

Air Temperature (°C)

28

25

28

29

Case 2

Highest 5-sec Odour Level

6.3

2.0

5.5

4.1

Worst Hour

16/11/06, hr 20

22/11/06, hr 19

10/02/06, hr18

18/07/06, hr23

Air Temperature (°C)

24

22

18

28

Case 3

Highest 5-sec Odour Level

3.2

1.9

23.2

12.5

Worst Hour

06/04/06, hr 22

22/11/06, hr 19

18/11/06, hr 19

12/08/06, hr 19

Air Temperature (°C)

22

22

24

30

Note:

(a)     Figures in bold and underline represents the exceedance of 5-sec odour criterion (5OU).

The results indicate that the air temperatures of the maximum predicted odour levels at the four selected assessment points in each case are equal to or less than 30°C.  Meteorology is a decisive factor affecting the impacts to these ASRs.

A3.4                                Effect of Odour Levels at Air Temperature at or Above 30°C

In order to further assess the basic of the reasonable worst case scenario, a further analysis of the odour levels at the four assessment points using odour emission rates corresponding to a temperature range of 30°C to 38°C was performed as the highest air temperature recorded at SENT Landfill weather station in 2006 is 38°C.

Approach for adjusting odour emission rates up to 38°C follows the approach adopted in the approved EIA for Agreement No. CE 20/2004 (EP) North East New Territories Landfill Extension (EIA 133/2007).  A percentage increase of odour emission established by tipping face for construction waste (2.682% per 1°C) is used.  The adjusted odour emission rates at 30°C to 38°C are summarized in Table A3.3 and the detailed calculation is shown in Table A3.4.

Table A3.3      Adjusted Odour Emission Rates

Odour Source

Odour Emission Rate (OU m-2 s-1)

 

30°C

31°C

32°C

33°C

34°C

35°C

36°C

37°C

38°C

MSW + construction waste tipping

0.94

0.97

0.99

1.02

1.04

1.07

1.10

1.13

1.16

Construction waste tipping / Daily cover area

0.12

0.123

0.127

0.13

0.133

0.137

0.141

0.144

0.148

Special waste trench

31.74

32.59

33.47

34.36

35.29

36.23

37.20

38.20

39.22

Note:

(a)     The odour emission rate is estimated by liner extrapolation of odour strength measured at tipping face for construction waste from 26.11°C to 29.55°C (2.682% of odour emission rate increased per 1 degree increase in temperature) (Also, refer to footnote (a) of Table A1.1 for the adjustment).

The model was rerun to simulate odour dispersion for these hours at which those higher temperatures were reported.  The results are summarized in Tables A3.5 below.


Table A3.4      Detailed Calculation of the Adjusted Odour Emission Rates

Table A3.5      Predicted Maximum 5-sec Odour Levels at Different Air Temperatures at A1-1, A1-2 (1), A1-3 (1) and A2 (1.5m above ground)

Air Temp (°C)

A1-1

A1-2 (1)

A1-3 (1)

A2

 

Maximum 5-sec Odour Level

Increase (%) (a)

Maximum 5-sec Odour Level

Increase (%)(a)

Maximum 5-sec Odour Level

Increase (%)(a)

Maximum 5-sec Odour Level

Increase (%)(a)

 

30°C Emission

Adjusted Emission

30°C Emission

Adjusted Emission

30°C Emission

Adjusted Emission

30°C Emission

Adjusted Emission

38

0

0

-

0.37

0.44

18

0

0

-

0

0

-

37

0

0

-

1.33

1.55

17

0.08

0.10

20

0.11

0.14

25

36

0.24

0.28

16

2.62

2.89

10

0.34

0.40

18

0.24

0.28

18

35

0.4

0.46

15

0.21

0.24

16

0.99

1.13

14

0.47

0.54

15

34

0.88

0.98

11

0.99

0.98

-2

3.37

3.74

11

1.18

1.32

12

33

0.9

0.97

8

0.38

0.41

7

3.35

3.63

8

1.58

1.71

8

32

1.78

1.87

5

2.31

2.41

4

2.2

2.31

5

1.07

1.13

6

31

0.75

0.75

0

0.88

0.88

0

3.17

3.26

3

4.04

4.16

3

Note:

(a)     “% increase” means the increase of maximum 5-second odour level predicted by using adjusted odour emission rates at different temperatures in Table A3.4 compared with the maximum 5-second odour level predicted by using odour emission rate at 30°C for the worst hour at that air temperature.


The results show that the predicted maximum odour levels are well below the odour criterion, ie, 5OU.  It may be concluded that the meteorological conditions at those hours in the year with temperatures above 30°C are not favour the dispersion of the odour from the Extension to the assessment points and hence the potential odour impacts at higher temperature will be lower than that predicted for 30°C.

It should be noted that the odour emission rate of the trench adopted in the sensitivity test is very conservative because the measurements were conducted at the existing SENT Landfill which receives dewatered sewage sludge.  No sludge will be accepted at the Extension.  Moreover, the trench of the Extension will be covered when it is not receiving special wastes.  The air trapped inside the trench will be extracted and scrubbed prior to discharge to air.  The odour emission from the trench will be minimal and hence the actual odour impacts at the assessment points will be much lower than that predicted in the assessment.

A3.5                                Effect on the Odour Impact due to Doubling the Odour Emission Rate of Special Waste Trench

Since the temperature when measuring the odour emission at special waste trench was less than that at other odour sources, therefore, to further support odour emission rate of special waste trench at 30°C to be used in the worst case assessment, a further analysis is performed.

To provide further levels of comfort, a sensitivity analysis of the uncertainty of the emission rate of the special waste trench on the predicted odour levels at the assessment points was carried out assuming that the odour emission rate of the trench is double of that assumed at 30°C (ie, 63.4 OUm-2s-1).  The odour emission rates of other identified odour sources (refer to Table A3.1) and modelling parameters described in Section A3.2.2 are kept unchanged.  The predicted odour impacts at 1.5m above ground using the odour emission rate of the trench at 30°C were compared with those predicted using a rate doubled of that at 30°C and the results are shown in Figure A3.2.

The contour plots show that even doubling the odour emission rate of special waste trench will only be slightly increased.  It is because the worst hours of odour impact is always happened at very stable stability class (Stability Class F) which is always occurred during evening or night time.  During this period of time, the trench will be closed (the trench will be closed at 5pm and completely covered with 600mm soil and impermeable liner at 6pm).  Therefore, special waste trench is not the major contributor to cause odour exceedance.

 

 

Text Box:

 

Figure A3.2        Predicted Odour Impacts at 1.5m above ground using Odour Emission Rate at 30°C and a Rate Doubled of that for 30°C

A3.6                                Conclusions

Based on the findings of the sensitivity tests, it is concluded that meteorology is the key factor affecting the predicted odour impacts at the ASRs and the emission rates at 30°C represent the reasonable emission rates fro the impact assessment.

It should be noted that the odour emission rate of the special waste trench adopted in the sensitivity test is very conservative because the measurements were carried out at the existing SENT Landfill which receives dewater sewage sludge.  The Extension will not receive sludge.  Moreover, the trench of the Extension will be covered (except at the time of unloading special waste) and the air trapped inside the trench will be extracted and scrubbed prior to discharge to the atmosphere.  It is expected that the actual odour impact will be much lower than that predicted in the assessment.