7.                   HUMAN HEALTH RISK ASSESSMENT

 

Introduction

 

7.1               With reference to Clause 3.4.3.5 (xi) of the EIA Study Brief for the Project, the EIA Study shall assess the adverse ecological effects that may result from exposure to toxic substances due to effluent discharges, and the potential human health risks associated with ingestion of and contact with contaminated seawater during swimming or engaging in other water related activities and with the consumption of potentially contaminated seafood.

 

7.2               The Human Health Risk Assessment (HHRA), which covers the assessment of risk to human health, is presented in this section of the EIA Report.  Risk assessment for ecological resources is presented in Section 8 of the EIA Report.

 

Objective, Scope and Focus of Assessment

 

7.3               The objective of the HHRA is to assess the potential human health risks/impacts associated with exposure to toxic substances from effluent discharges of the Project, due to ingestion of and contact with contaminated seawater during swimming or engaging in other water related activities and with the consumption of potentially contaminated seafood.

 

7.4               The study area of this assessment is in line with the one for water quality assessment according to Clause 3.4.3.2 of the EIA Study Brief, which shall cover the following Water Control Zones (WCZ) as designated under the Water Pollution Control Ordinance: North Western, Western Buffer, Victoria Harbour, Eastern Buffer, Junk Bay and Southern.

 

7.5               The risk assessment will focus on assessing the potential risks/impacts to human health due to chronic exposure to the contaminants present in the HATS effluent discharge including potential contaminants produced in the disinfection process.

 

7.6               Under Agreement No. CE 7/2005 (EP) “Harbour Area Treatment Scheme Environmental Impact Assessment Study for the Provision of Disinfection Facilities at Stonecutters Island” (ADF EIA), a multi-tiered, multi-criteria evaluation exercise was conducted to select the disinfection option for the Stonecutters Island (SCISTW).  Chlorination with dechlorination was selected to be the disinfection method.  Therefore, the risk due to potential by-products produced in the chlorination / dechlorination process, together with the contaminants present in CEPT / secondary treated effluent will be assessed.

 

7.7               The approach and methodology of this HHRA will follow those adopted in the ADF EIA.

 

Scenarios Considered in Assessments

 

7.8               Three project scenarios were considered in the assessments:

·                Late Stage 2A with disinfection (year 2020), HATS discharges 2,170,000m3 of chlorinated/dechlorinated CEPT effluent per day - referred to as Project Scenario 1

·                Before commissioning of HATS Stage 2B with disinfection, HATS discharges 2,447,000m3 of chlorinated/dechlorinated CEPT effluent per day - referred to as Project Scenario 2

·                HATS Stage 2B with disinfection (ultimate year), HATS discharges 2,447,000m3 of chlorinated/dechlorinated secondary treated effluent per day - referred to as Project Scenario 3

 

7.9               It should be noted that the year 2020 completion date for Stage 2B is an assumption made for the purpose of risk assessment in the current EIA Study.  Also note that scenarios 2 and 3 would use design flows whereas scenario 1 would use a lower flow rate based on calculated effluent flow generated in 2020.

 

Assessment Methodology

 

7.10            The detailed risk assessment methodology for HHRA is presented in Appendix 7.1.  The framework of the risk assessment is as follows:

·                Problem Formulation

·                Hazard Identification

-           Contaminant of Potential Concern (COPC) Identification and Contaminant of Concern (COC) Selection

-           Potential Human Receptors Identification

·                Exposure Assessment

·                Dose-response Assessment

·                Risk/hazard Characterization

 

7.11            A brief overview of the risk assessment methodology is presented below:

 

Problem Formulation

 

7.12            This stage of the risk assessment establishes objective, scope and focus of the assessment, constructs the Site Conceptual Model (SCM) and defines assessment endpoint.  SCM presents an overview of the chemical sources, exposure pathways and receptors of the risk assessment.  SCM adopted in the HHRA is presented graphically in Figure 7.1.  More detailed discussion is presented in Appendix 7.1.

 

COPC Identification (from Chlorination/Dechlorination Process)

 

7.13            A total number of 35 chemicals are identified as COPCs from the chlorination/dechlorination process.  The COPCs included 9 chlorination by-products (CBPs) regulated by USEPA National Primary Drinking Water Standards; 25 priority pollutants[1] (which may contain potential CBPs) regulated by the USA National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System (NPDES)[2]; and total residual chlorine (as disinfectant residue).  Chemical analysis is conducted to determine the COPC concentrations in chlorinated/dechlorinated (C/D) CEPT effluent and ambient seawater for the subsequent tasks of the risk assessment.

 

7.14            Unlike other conventional human health risk assessments for air pollution source (e.g. incinerator) and contaminated land/groundwater, a look-up table of contaminants/list of possible COPC for CBPs risk assessment in effluent is not identified from local and overseas authorities.  Moreover, according to the review of local and overseas practice, list of “regulated CBPs in sewage effluent” is not identified.

 

7.15            Hence, a conservative approach is adopted in this Study to include all the regulated CBPs in drinking water plus the 25 priority pollutants (may contain potential CBPs) regulated by NPDES as COPCs, although these pollutants are not regulated due to the concern of generation during chlorination process.

 

7.16            The NPDES practice is adopted because it contains the most comprehensive list of regulated pollutants for effluent discharge, based on the review of practice in the USA, the United Kingdom, Australia, Canada, China and Hong Kong.  Moreover, the purpose of NPDES is to ensure the US National Water Quality Criteria are complied by regulating pollutant concentrations in effluent discharge directly to surface water, in order to protect the human health and aquatic life.

 

7.17            Therefore, the 35 COPCs identified from the chlorination/dechlorination process include all documented potential CBPs/disinfectant residue which are regulated due to their potential to cause impact to human health and/or ecological resources.  The list of identified COPCs (which the COCs for risk calculation are selected from the list) is considered sufficiently comprehensive to assess the potential risk to human health due to chronic exposure to the contaminants produced in the disinfection process in the effluent discharges.

 

Identification of COPC (from HATS CEPT / Secondary Treated Effluent)

 

7.18            A comprehensive chemical analysis was conducted under the Environmental and Engineering Feasibility Assessment Studies in relation to the Way Forward of the HATS (HATS EEFS) (2004) to determine the pollutant concentrations in HATS CEPT effluent (Stage 1 and Stage 2A) and CEPT plus Biological Aerated Filters (BAF) effluent (Stage 2B).  One hundred analytes including metals, inorganic pollutants, organic pollutants, pesticides and organo-metallics, which are in the full list of toxic chemical analytes used in monitoring of CEPT/secondary treated effluent and ambient waters around Hong Kong, were identified as COPC and analyzed.

 

COC Selection

 

7.19            The COCs are selected from the identified COPCs based on a number of selection rules and their risks are determined in the risk assessment.

 

Potential Human Receptors Identification

 

7.20            Based on the SCM for HHRA, the completed and significant COC exposure pathways are incidental ingestion and dermal contact of seawater, and ingestion of contaminated seafood.  Therefore, the potential human receptors (children and adult) are:

·                People who swim or engage in other water related activities in the sea area which is contaminated by the selected COCs discharged from the outfall of SCISTW

·                People who consume seafood which is contaminated by the selected COCs discharged from the outfall of SCISTW

 

Exposure Assessment

 

7.21            This stage of the assessment involves water quality modelling, determination of exposure points, characterization of potential human receptors and calculation of COC exposure.  COC bioconcentration and bioaccumulation along the food chain have been considered in the determination of COC concentration of seafood.  As such, the risks associated with COC bioconcentration and bioaccumulation have been considered and evaluated in the HHRA.

 

Dose-response Assessment

 

7.22            This stage of HHRA involved determination of the relationship between the COC doses from exposure and corresponding response in humans (risk of cancer development, in terms of cancer slope factor and/or non-cancer health impact, in terms of reference dose).

 

Risk/hazard Characterization

 

7.23            This stage of the assessment characterizes the cancer risk (due to carcinogenic COCs) and health hazard (due to COCs inducing non-carcinogenic health impact) to the receptors associated with exposure of COCs.

 

Assessment Criteria

 

7.24            The assessment results are needed to compare against the established assessment criteria to evaluate the environmental acceptability of the chlorination disinfection technology option, which are presented below.

 

Cancer Risk

 

7.25            At present USEPA has taken cancer risk in the range of 1 in 10,000 (0.0001) to 1 in 1,000,000 (0.000001) as being protective of human health for lifetime excess cancer risk.  In light of the current criteria adopted by USEPA, the range of lifetime excess cancer risk of 1 in 10,000 to 1 in 1,000,000 was adopted as the cancer risk criteria in the HHRA.

 

Non-cancer Health Effect

 

7.26            Hazard Quotient (HQ) and Hazard Index (HI)[3] are used as the measure for the non-carcinogenic health hazards for both children and adult human receptor.  At present USEPA has taken 1.0 as the screening value for HQ and HI.  A HQ and/or HI below the screening value (i.e. 1) would indicate that the risk of the proposed action does not present an unacceptable risk and no further investigation would be required.

 

7.27            When the calculated HQ and HI are above the screening value, it does not immediately indicate that the proposed action would present an unacceptable risk.  Rather, it triggers further investigation to examine whether the assumptions for the concerned chemicals are too conservative and whether the severities of the effect of the chemicals are of great concern.

 

7.28            The adoption of 1 as the screening value is consistent with the interpretation of HQ and HI in the approved “EIA for New Contaminated Mud Marine Disposal Facility at Airport East / East Sha Chau Area”.

 

Data Collection

 

7.29            In the ADF EIA, chemical analysis and whole effluent toxicity tests (WETT) were conducted for the C/D CEPT effluent from SCISTW and secondary treated effluent from Tai Po/Shatin Sewage Treatment Works to obtain the data for the risk assessments.  The chemical analysis aimed to determine the concentrations of identified 35 COPCs (from chlorination/dechlorination process) in the C/D effluents and ambient seawater for COC selection and calculation of human health and ecological risk; whereas the WETT aimed to determine the toxicity of C/D effluent in order to assess the compliance of acute and chronic toxicity criteria (which was detailed in Section 8 of the EIA Report).

 

7.30            A comprehensive chemical analysis was conducted under the HATS EEFS (2004) to determine the pollutant concentrations in HATS CEPT effluent (Stage 1 and Stage 2A) and CEPT plus Biological Aerated Filters (BAF) effluent (Stage 2B).  The chemical analysis data from the previous study was also used for the risk assessment.

 

Selected Contaminant of Concern and Effluent Concentration for Risk Assessment

 

7.31            From the identified COPCs, COCs are selected and their effluent concentrations are determined for calculation of risks.  The COC selection and effluent concentrations are based on the chemical analysis results and a number of established rules.  The detailed COC selection and effluent concentration determination process are presented in Appendix 7.1; the selected COCs in HHRA and their determined effluent and ambient seawater concentrations are summarized in Table 7.1a (for Project Scenarios 1 and 2) and Table 7.1b (for Project Scenario 3).

Table 7.1a      Selected COCs and Effluent Concentrations (Project Scenarios 1 and 2)

COC

Effluent Conc. (mg/L)

Ambient Seawater Conca. (mg/L)

From chlorination/dechlorination process

Total residual chlorine

100

0

Chloroform

7

0

Bromodichloromethane

2.5b

0

Dibromochloromethane

2.5b

0

Chloroacetic acid

4

0

Dibromoacetic acid

4

0

Dichloroacetic acid

45.9

0

Trichloroacetic acid

22

0

Tetrachloroethylene

1.3

0

Trichloroethylene

2

0

Pentachlorophenol

1.25b

0

2,4,6-trichlorophenol

2

0

Alpha-benzene hexachloride

0.25b

0

Beta-benzene hexachloride

0.5b

0

Gamma-benzene hexachloride

0.5b

0

From CEPT effluent

Antimonyc

0.804

0.21

Arsenicc

1.49

1.48

Bariumc

25.5

7.19

Chromium IIIc

18

0.43

Leadc

1.21

0.723

Mercuryc

29.4ng/L

0.06ng/L

Nickelc

28.5

1.02

Seleniumc

0.4

0.05

Silverc

3.83

0.058

Vanadiumc

29.1

2.15

Zincc

44.1

3.54

TCDD (I-TEQ)

0.1pg/L

0.039pg/L

Toluene

12

0

Malathion

0.031

0

Note:    a For COCs that are not detected in the ambient seawater samples, the ambient seawater concentration is set as zero.

bSelected COCs with concentration below detection limit in C/D effluent, their effluent concentrations were assumed to be one-half of the detection limit.  This is a standard approach accepted by USEPA.

c Total concentration for metals was adopted for human health risk assessment

Table 7.1b      Selected COCs and Effluent Concentrations (Project Scenario 3)

COC

Effluent Conc. (mg/L)

Ambient Seawater Conca. (mg/L)

From chlorination/dechlorination process

Bromoform

49

0

Chloroform

2.5b

0

Bromodichloromethane

2.5b

0

Dibromochloromethane

8

0

Dibromoacetic acid

10

0

Dichloroacetic acid

3

0

Trichloroacetic acid

7

0

Pentachlorophenol

1.25b

0

Hexachlorobenzene

0.25b

0

Alpha-benzene hexachloride

0.25b

0

Beta-benzene hexachloride

0.5b

0

Gamma-benzene hexachloride

0.5b

0

From Secondary Treated Effluent

Antimonyc

0.631

0.21

Bariumc

24.5

7.19

Chromium IIIc

8.38

0.43

Copperc

9.98

2.25

Nickelc

22.3

1.02

Seleniumc

0.14

0.05

Silverc

0.387

0.058

Vanadiumc

30.5

2.15

Zinc

11.8

3.54

TCDD (I-TEQ)

0.062pg/L

0.039pg/L

Malathion

0.015

0

Note:    a For COCs that are not detected in the ambient seawater samples, the ambient seawater concentration is set as zero.

bSelected COCs with concentration below detection limit in C/D effluent, their effluent concentrations were assumed to be one-half of the detection limit.  This is a standard approach accepted by USEPA.

c Total concentration for metals was adopted for human health risk assessment

 

Risk Assessment Results

 

Dilution Factors for ZID and Far-field COC Concentration

 

7.32            As discussed in Section 6 and shown in Figure 6.43 and Figure 6.44, the effluent plume from SCISTW, Tai Po/Shatin STW and Pillar Point STW would not overlap each other.  This means the contaminants discharged from Tai Po/Shatin STW and Pillar Point STW would not significantly contribute to the contaminant concentrations at the edge of Zone of Initial Dilution (ZID), edge of mixing zone (of the effluent plume from SCISTW) and the Tsuen Wan beaches, which would be due to the C/D effluent from SCISTW.

 

7.33            It is therefore appropriate to apply the dilution factors calculated by water quality modelling at different exposure points (i.e. edge of ZID, edge of mixing zone and the nearest beach from SCISTW outfall) to calculate the contamination concentration.  Table 7.2a presents the estimated dilution factors at various exposure points for Project Scenario 1 while Table 7.2b presents the estimated dilution factors at various exposure points for Project Scenarios 2 and 3.  As shown in Tables 7.2a and 7.2b, 10 %tile dilution factors (dry and wet season combined) achieved at the exposure points are adopted for risk calculations.  This approach has been adopted in the ADF EIA.  Since activities leading to COC exposure (swimming and seafood consumption) are assumed to be conducted in both wet and dry season, dry and wet season combined dilution factors were adopted.  Adopting 10 %tile dilution factor for risk calculation is an approach consistent with previous studies, which results in a more realistic yet conservative range of risk calculations.

Table 7.2a      Estimated Dilution Factors (Project Scenario 1)

Exposure Point

Season

Min. Dilution Factor

10 %tile Dilution Factora

Average Dilution Factor

Min. 4-day Average Dilution Factor

Edge of ZID

Dry and Wet Season Combined

38

53b

65

Cannot be determined by near field model

Dry Season

Not calculated – not used for risk assessments

68

Wet Season

60

Edge of Mixing Zone*

Dry and Wet Season Combined

54

82c

148

172

Dry Season

63

80

125

172

Wet Season

54

89

172

209

Nearest Beach from SCISTW Outfall

Dry and Wet Season Combined

135

163d

Not calculated – not used for risk assessments

Dry Season

135

155

Wet Season

167

224

Note: * The edge of mixing zone of dichloroacetic acid (the COC with the largest mixing zone)

a Dilution factor exceeded 90% of the time (i.e. 10% of values are below this value)

b Applied to determine COC conc. at edge of ZID

c Applied to COC conc. at edge of mixing zone

d Applied to determine COC conc. at the nearest beach

Table 7.2b      Estimated Dilution Factors (Project Scenarios 2 and 3)

Exposure Point

Season

Min. Dilution Factor

10 %tile Dilution Factora

Average Dilution Factor

Min. 4-day Average Dilution Factor

Edge of ZID

Dry and Wet Season Combined

35

49b

60

Cannot be determined by near field model

Dry Season

Not calculated – not used for risk assessments

63

Wet Season

57

Edge of Mixing Zone*

Dry and Wet Season Combined

Cannot be determined as no mixing zone was determined for dry season

Dry Season

No mixing zone determined

Wet Season

43

77c

113

128

Nearest Beach from SCISTW Outfall

Dry and Wet Season Combined

119

146d

Not calculated – not used for risk assessments

Dry Season

119

137

Wet Season

149

199

Note: * The edge of mixing zone of dichloroacetic acid (the COC with the largest mixing zone)

a Dilution factor exceeded 90% of the time (i.e. 10% of values are below this value)

b Applied to determine COC conc. at edge of ZID

c Applied to COC conc. at edge of mixing zone

d Applied to determine COC conc. at the nearest beach

 

Human Health Risk Assessment

 

7.34            In the HHRA, there are two main categories of human receptors, namely general public and fisherman (the more sensitive receptor since they consume more seafood in their diet).  The following COC exposure scenarios were considered and evaluated:

 

·                Accidentally drop into the harbour (at edge of ZID) and consumption of contaminated seafood

·                Frequent swimming at the edge of mixing zone[4] and consumption of contaminated seafood

·                Frequent swimming at Tsuen Wan beaches and consumption of contaminated seafood

 

7.35            Lifetime incremental cancer risk and non-cancer health hazard quotient/hazard index are calculated to determine the health impact due to exposure of carcinogenic COCs and COCs would pose non-carcinogenic health effect respectively.  For non-cancer health hazard, the effect on adult and child of the 2 categories of human receptors are determined.  The detailed assessment results are presented in Appendix 7.2.  Tables 7.3a, 7.3b and 7.3c present the estimated cancer risk and non-cancer health hazard to the receptors in the 3 Project Scenarios described in Section 7.8.

Table 7.3a            Estimated Lifetime Incremental Cancer Risk

 

Incremental Lifetime Cancer Risk

Project Scenario

General Public

Fishermen

Drop at edge of ZID + seafood consumption

Freq. swim at edge of mixing zone + seafood consumption

Freq. swim at Tusen Wan beaches + seafood consumption

Drop at edge of ZID + seafood consumption

Freq. swim at edge of mixing zone + seafood consumption

Freq. swim at Tusen Wan beaches + seafood consumption

Cancer Risk due to Potential CBPs

Scenario 1

0.00000006

0.00000328

0.00000165

0.00000006

0.00000328

0.00000165

Scenario 2

0.00000006

0.00000349

0.00000184

0.00000006

0.00000349

0.00000184

Scenario 3

0.00000006

0.00000349

0.00000184

0.00000006

0.00000349

0.00000184

Cancer Risk due to Contaminants in CEPT / Secondary Treated Effluent

Scenario 1

0.00000060

0.0000254

0.0000252

0.00000090

0.0000257

0.0000255

Scenario 2

0.00000062

0.0000254

0.0000252

0.00000094

0.0000257

0.0000255

Scenario 3

0.00000054

0.0000218

0.0000217

0.00000084

0.0000221

0.0000220

Cancer Risk due to Potential CBPs and Contaminants in CEPT / Secondary Treated Effluent

Scenario 1

0.00000065

0.0000287

0.0000268

0.00000096

0.0000290

0.0000271

Scenario 2

0.00000068

0.0000289

0.0000271

0.00000101

0.0000292

0.0000274

Scenario 3

0.00000060

0.0000253

0.0000236

0.00000090

0.0000256

0.0000236

Table 7.3b      Estimated Non-cancer Health Hazard Index (Adult Receptor)

 

Hazard Index

Project Scenario

General Public

Fishermen

Drop at edge of ZID + seafood consumption

Freq. swim at edge of mixing zone + seafood consumption

Freq. swim at Tusen Wan beaches + seafood consumption

Drop at edge of ZID + seafood consumption

Freq. swim at edge of mixing zone + seafood consumption

Freq. swim at Tusen Wan beaches + seafood consumption

Hazard Index due to Potential CBPs

Scenario 1

0.0000360

0.00212

0.00107

0.0000364

0.00212

0.00107

Scenario 2

0.0000389

0.00226

0.00119

0.0000394

0.00226

0.00119

Scenario 3

0.0000281

0.00154

0.000813

0.0000286

0.00154

0.000813

Hazard Index due to Contaminants in CEPT / Secondary Treated Effluent

Scenario 1

0.00500

0.186

0.184

0.00783

0.188

0.186

Scenario 2

0.00519

0.186

0.184

0.00820

0.189

0.187

Scenario 3

0.00497

0.177

0.176

0.00791

0.180

0.179

Hazard Index due to Potential CBPs and Contaminants in CEPT / Secondary Treated Effluent

Scenario 1

0.00504

0.188

0.185

0.00786

0.190

0.188

Scenario 2

0.00523

0.188

0.185

0.00824

0.191

0.188

Scenario 3

0.00500

0.179

0.177

0.00794

0.182

0.180

Table 7.3c      Estimated Non-cancer Health Hazard Index (Child Receptor)

 

Hazard Index

Project Scenario

General Public

Fishermen

Drop at edge of ZID + seafood consumption

Freq. swim at edge of mixing zone + seafood consumption

Freq. swim at Tusen Wan beaches + seafood consumption

Drop at edge of ZID + seafood consumption

Freq. swim at edge of mixing zone + seafood consumption

Freq. swim at Tusen Wan beaches + seafood consumption

Hazard Index due to Potential CBPs

Scenario 1

0.0000422

0.00244

0.00123

0.0000426

0.00244

0.00123

Scenario 2

0.0000456

0.00260

0.00132

0.0000461

0.00260

0.00131

Scenario 3

0.0000317

0.00172

0.000909

0.0000322

0.00172

0.000910

Hazard Index due to Contaminants in CEPT / Secondary Treated Effluent

Scenario 1

0.00548

0.220

0.217

0.00831

0.222

0.220

Scenario 2

0.00567

0.220

0.218

0.00869

0.223

0.221

Scenario 3

0.00540

0.207

0.206

0.00834

0.210

0.209

Hazard Index due to Potential CBPs and Contaminants in CEPT / Secondary Treated Effluent

Scenario 1

0.00553

0.222

0.218

0.00836

0.225

0.221

Scenario 2

0.00572

0.223

0.219

0.00873

0.226

0.222

Scenario 3

0.00543

0.209

0.207

0.00837

0.212

0.210

 

7.36            As seen in Tables 7.3a to 7.3c, in all project scenarios, the incremental lifetime cancer risk and non-cancer health hazard index impose to all human receptors in all exposure scenarios are found to be acceptable under the established assessment criteria.  According to the HHRA results, the human health risk due to the Project would be acceptable.

 

7.37            Moreover, it can be observed that in Scenarios 1 to 3, cancer risk and hazard index due to CBPs is at least 6 and 82 times lower than that due to pollutants present in CEPT/secondary treated effluent.  The results showed that the chlorination/dechlorination process for CEPT/secondary treated effluent would only induce a very low level of incremental human health risk, which is very small when compared to the health risk due to the pollutants existed in CEPT effluent.

 

7.38            The health risk due to the extremely conservative (and not realistic) exposure scenario “Accidentally drop into the harbour at edge of ZID + Frequent swimming at the edge of mixing zone + Consumption of contaminated seafood (fishermen diet)” is calculated and the results are presented in Table 7.4.

Table 7.4        Estimated Lifetime Incremental Cancer Risk for Extremely Conservative Exposure Scenario

 

Exposure Scenario :Drop at edge of ZID

+ Freq. swim at edge of mixing zone + seafood consumption

Project Scenario

Incremental Lifetime Cancer Risk – Fishermen Lifetime

Hazard Index - Fishermen adult

Hazard Index – Fishermen child

Cancer Risk / Hazard Index due to Potential CBPs

Scenario 1

0.00000334

0.00216

0.00248

Scenario 2

0.00000356

0.00230

0.00264

Scenario 3

0.00000355

0.00160

0.00176

Cancer Risk / Hazard Index due to Contaminants in CEPT / Secondary Treated Effluent

Scenario 1

0.0000260

0.191

0.225

Scenario 2

0.0000260

0.191

0.226

Scenario 3

0.0000223

0.182

0.213

Cancer Risk / Hazard Index due to Potential CBPs and Contaminants in CEPT / Secondary Treated Effluent

Scenario 1

0.0000293

0.193

0.228

Scenario 2

0.0000296

0.194

0.228

Scenario 3

0.0000259

0.184

0.215

 

7.39            As seen in Table 7.4, the health risk due to the extremely conservative exposure scenario is also found to be acceptable under the established assessment criteria.

 

Cumulative Impacts

 

7.40            While the assessment focused on assessing the potential risks/impacts to human health due to chronic exposure to the contaminants in the HATS effluent discharge, cumulative impact of the effluent discharge from Tai Po/Shatin Sewage Treatment Works (TP/ST STW) and Pillar Point Sewage Treatment Works (PPSTW) are considered and evaluated.

 

7.41            Results of water quality modelling showed that the effluent plume from SCISTW, TP/ST STW and PPSTW would not overlap each other.  The results indicated that contaminants discharged from TP/ST STW and PPSTW would not significantly contribute to the concentration of pollutants at the edge of ZID, edge of mixing zone (of the effluent plume from SCISTW) and the Tsuen Wan beaches.  Therefore, effluent discharged from the TP/ST STW and PPSTW would not induce cumulative impact with the C/D effluent from SCISTW.

 

7.42            The evaluation above is further supported by the findings of approved EIA Study for Tai Po Sewage Treatment Works - Stage V.  The EIA Study for TPSTW Stage V indicated that the impact from the TPSTW and STSTW effluent would be very localized and confined within the Kai Tak Approach Channel and the existing Kwun Tong Typhoon Shelter.  The effluent plume from SCISTW and TPSTW/STSTW would not overlap with each other.

 

Assumptions in Risk Assessment

 

7.43            A description of the assumptions associated with the HHRA is presented below.

 

·                For each COC, the maximum effluent concentration and the maximum background concentration are used to calculate the COC concentration at exposure point.  This conservative approach yields higher estimated risk than using mean concentrations.

 

·                It is assumed that after the effluent is discharged, COCs in the effluent would only have their concentrations decrease as a result of dilution and dispersion.  It is a conservative approach because COCs concentrations in the water column would also decrease because of different mechanisms such as degradation and / or volatilization.

 

·                The assumption made for the incidental water ingestion rate – 50 ml/hour with an exposure duration 2.6 hours/day appeared to be fairly conservative, especially for seawater which is less palatable to ingest than fresh water.  While the seafood consumption rate of 0.3kg/day assumed for fishermen is considered to be an upper bound value and is not expected to occur in reality, in turn provide a conservative risk estimate.

 

·                The inclusion of exposure scenarios involving dropping into the harbour and frequent swimming at the edge of mixing zone is to provide a worst case scenario in the risk assessment.  The unrealistic assumption of dropping into the harbour once every year is made for the purpose of assessment.  While the edge of mixing zone would be located well offshore and would be very difficult for swimmers to reach there frequently.

 

·                Since a list of “regulated CBPs in sewage effluent” is not available locally or overseas, the COPC identification is based on literature search of documented potential CBPs[5] and regulatory practice of chlorinated organic substances in drinking water/sewage effluent[6].  This approach is conservative, as it may include chemicals that actually are not produced as COPC by chlorination of HATS effluent, as reflected by the fact that most of the identified COPC are not detected in C/D effluent.  Nevertheless, for the purposes of the risk assessment, a concentration equivalent to half of the analytical detection limit of each undetected COC is adopted in the risk calculation.  This conservative approach serves to counter the possibility that some chemicals from chlorination of HATS effluent may be present but are not included as a COPC in the risk calculation.  Overall, in line with common practice, this approach to COPC identification is considered sufficiently comprehensive to assess the potential risk to human health.

 

·                The COC concentrations of chlorinated/dechlorinated effluent are obtained from a number of bench scale process simulating the C/D treatment using a higher hypochlorite dosage (higher than the dosage in actual full-scale process implementation) to provide conservatism.

 

·                Dilution factor estimated by water quality modelling is used to predict the COC dispersion in water and the COC concentrations at exposure points.  Computer models are sophisticated tools used to simulate mother-nature, and uncertainties inherent in these models have been minimized by vigorous model calibration and verification.  The conservative 10% dilution factor is used to estimate COC concentrations exposure points, in turn provided a more conservative risk estimate.

 

·                The characteristic parameter values for human receptors are point estimates adopted from literatures, which may not precisely reflect the conditions of a range of potential human receptors.  However, inclusion of fishermen receptors in the HHRA could provide risk estimate for more sensitive population.

 

·                The health benchmarks[7] adopted from agencies would introduce uncertainty to the HHRA.   These health benchmarks are used as single-point estimates throughout the analysis with uncertainty and variability associated with them.  However, it should be noted that much of the uncertainty and variability associated with the health benchmarks shall be accounted for in the process that the agencies setting verified benchmarks, especially the more stringent values from agencies were adopted.

 

·                Health hazard index is calculated by summation of all hazard quotients due to various COCs.  This approach assumes that the health effects of the various COCs are additive, which does not consider the possible synergistic or antagonistic interaction of various COCs.  However, several studies have demonstrated that the additive approach often predicts reasonably well the toxicities of mixtures composed of a substantial variety of both similar and dissimilar compounds (USEPA 1986).

 

7.44            In summary, the health risk assessment by design is very protective of human health by overstating potential exposures and risks.  Conservative assumptions made in the risk assessment include (i) adopting maximum effluent concentration and background seawater concentration for risk calculation; (ii) assuming COCs in effluent would only have their concentrations decrease as a result of dilution and dispersion; (iii) applying conservative exposure parameters; (iv) inclusion of exposure scenarios involving dropping into the harbour and frequent swimming at the edge of mixing zone to provide a worst case scenario in the risk assessment.  Despite uncertainties involved in some aspects of the risk assessment, conservative treatments (e.g. adopted the more stringent health benchmark values from agencies) are applied where appropriate.  The health risk assessment represents the most useful tool that can be used to determine and protectively manage the risk to human health.  It is considered that the human health risk assessment overall provided a conservative estimate of risk level and would not underestimate the risk.

 

Evaluation of Residual Impacts

 

7.45            The above health risk assessment indicates that calculated risks of all scenarios are found to be acceptable under the established assessment criteria.  In view that the inherent conservative health risk assessment indicates acceptable health risk levels, no residual impact from the Project on human health is anticipated.

 

Mitigation of Environmental Impact

 

7.46            Dechlorination process is incorporated into the effluent disinfection process to remove TRC and reduce formation of CBPs.  As discussed above, there would be no unacceptable human health risk induced by the Project and therefore no mitigation measures would be required.

 

Environmental Monitoring and Auditing

 

7.47            It is recommended to establish a monitoring programme to determine whether the Project would induce increase of the concentration of potential CBPs and other contaminants in seawater and to verify the predictions of the risk assessment.  Details of the programme are provided in a stand-alone EM&A Manual.

 

Conclusions

 

7.48            A detailed Human Health Risk Assessment has been conducted to assess the potential adverse human health effects that may result from exposure of toxic substances due to HATS effluent discharge. 

 

7.49            The results of Human Health Risk Assessment revealed that potential risk/hazard impact due to potential chlorination by-products and other contaminants present in the chlorinated/dechlorinated HATS effluent would be acceptable under established assessment criteria in all the 3 Project Scenarios.

 

7.50            According to the risk assessment results, the Project would not cause unacceptable risk to human health.  Therefore, the Project would be considered to be environmentally acceptable in terms of risks/impacts to human health.


Reference

 

1.             ALS Technichem (HK) Pty Ltd (2005).  Testing of Chlorinated/Dechlorinated CEPT Effluent from Stonecutters Island Sewage Treatment Works – Final Report.

2.             CDM (2004).  Environmental and Engineering Feasibility Assessment Studies in Relation to the Way Forward of the Harbour Area Treatment Scheme – Working Paper No. 8 Ecological and Human Health Risk Assessment (Final).

3.             CityU Professional Services Limited (2005).  Testing of Chlorinated/Dechlorinated Sewage Effluent from Tai Po Sewage Treatment Works and Shatin Sewage Treatment Works – Sampling and Laboratory Analysis Report.

4.             ERM (2005).  Detailed Site Selection Study for a Proposed Contaminated Mud Disposal Facility within the Airport East/East of Sha Chau Area.  Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) and Final Site Selection Report.

5.             MCAL (2004).  Tai Po Sewage Treatment Works – Stage V.  Environmental Impact Assessment Study.

6.             Montgomery Watson (1998).  Strategic Sewage Disposal Scheme – Environmental Impact Assessment Study – Technical Note 4. Detailed Risk Assessment (Final Version).

7.             USEPA (1986).  Guidelines for the Health Risk Assessment of Chemical Mixtures.

 


 



[1] The 25 pollutants are regulated in NPDES due to their presence in industrial effluent but not their possible generation in chlorination process.  However, a conservative approach is adopted to study all these regulated chlorinated organic substances, which are documented as potential CBPs, in US drinking water and wastewater discharge.

[2] The NPDES permit program controls water pollution by regulating point sources that discharge pollutants into water of the United States.  Industrial, municipal, and other facilities must obtain permits if their discharges go directly to surface waters.

[3] HQ is the measure of health hazard due to exposure of a COC whereas HI is the measure of health hazard due to exposure of all identified COCs, which is calculated by summing the HQs of all identified COCs.

[4] The edge of mixing zone would be located well offshore and would be difficult by swimmers.  This exposure scenario was included as a worst case scenario.    

[5] Some of the documented potential CBPs were generated by applying very high chlorine dose (in the order of hundreds or thousands mg/L) to sewage effluent, which would not occur in the HATS scenario.

[6] Regulation of chlorinated organic substances was due to their presence in industrial effluent but not their possible generation in chlorination process.

[7] Cancer slope factor and reference dose of COCs.