10
Hazard to life
10.1.1
A portion of the Project is located within the about
1 km-radius consultation zone of a Potentially Hazardous Installation (PHI), i.e. Siu
Ho Wan Water Treatment Works (SHWWTW), as shown in Figure
No. NEX1062/S/SHD/ACM/Z10/260.
10.1.2
A Hazard
Assessment (HA) was conducted to evaluate the risk to the additional
population arising from the construction and operation of the Project and SHD
Topside Development due to storage of chlorine associated with the operations
at SHWWTW.
10.2
Scope and Objectives
10.2.1
The HA
is carried out following the criteria for evaluating hazard to life as stated
in Annexes 4 of the Technical Memorandum on Environmental Impact Assessment Process
(TM-EIAO).
10.2.2
In accordance with EIA Study Brief ESB-296/2016, the
objectives of the HA are as follows:
i.
Identify hazardous scenarios
associated with the on-site transport, storage and use of chlorine at the
SHWWTW with a view to determine a set of relevant scenarios to be included in a
Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA);
ii.
Execute a QRA of the set of
hazardous scenarios determined in (i), expressing population risks in both
individual and societal terms;
iii.
Compare individual and societal
risks with the criteria for evaluating hazard to life stipulated in Annex 4 of
the TM-EIAO; and
iv.
Identify and assess practicable and
cost-effective risk mitigation measures.
10.2.3
The methodology to be used in the hazard assessments
shall be consistent with previous studies having similar issues.
10.2.4
The general components of the HA include:
ˇ¤
Hazard
Identification: Identify hazard
scenarios associated with the transport, storage and use of chlorine and then
determine a set of relevant scenarios to be included in a QRA.
ˇ¤
Frequency Assessment: Assess the likelihood of occurrence of the
identified hazard scenarios.
ˇ¤
Consequence Assessment:
Assess the consequences and impact to the surrounding population.
ˇ¤
Risk Assessment: Evaluate the risk level, in
terms of individual risk and societal risk. The cumulative risks will be
compared with the criteria stipulated in TM-EIAO to determine their
acceptability. Subject to the assessment, practicable and cost-effective risk
mitigation measures will be identified and assessed.
10.3
Relevant Legislation and Guidelines
ˇ¤
Societal Risk Guidelines are presented graphically as in Drawing 10.1. The Societal Risk Guideline is
expressed in terms of lines plotting the frequency (F) of N or more deaths in
the population from accidents at the facility of concern.
o Acceptable where risks are
so low that no action is necessary;
o Unacceptable where
risks are so high that they should usually be reduced regardless of the cost or
else the hazardous activity should not proceed;
o ALARP (As Low
As Reasonably Practicable) where the risks associated with the hazardous
activity should be reduced to a level ˇ°as low as reasonably practicableˇ±, in
which the priority of measures is established on the basis of practicability
and cost to implement versus risk reduction achieved.
Drawing
10.1 Societal Risk Guidelines
10.4.1
With reference to Appendix 10.1, SHWWTW and Sham Shui Kok Chlorine Transhipment
Dock (SSK Dock) were identified as potential hazardous facilities.
10.4.2 The
SHWWTW is the Potentially Hazardous Installation (PHI) with its consultation
zone (CZ) encroached into the Scheme Boundary, while the potential risk due to
the operation of SSK Dock is negligible.
10.4.3 For
the SHWWTW, QRA has to be conducted to account for the cumulative risk posed to
the Project and SHD Topside Development. Details of the assessment methodology and
assumptions are stated in Appendix 10.1.
10.5
Summary of
Quantitative Risk Assessment Results
Overview
10.5.1 According
to Appendix 10.1, by summing up all
hazardous events, Individual Risk and Societal Risk associated with the
identified hazardous scenarios are obtained and compared with the criteria set
out in Annex 4 of the TM-EIAO to determine their acceptability.
Individual Risk Results
10.5.2 The
individual risk contours for SHWWTW are presented in Figure 12.5 of Appendix 10.1. As
shown in Figure 12.5, the 1x10-5/ year contour does not reach the boundary
of the Project and hence the individual risk level comply with the individual
risk criteria.
Societal Risk Results
FN Curve
10.5.3 The
FN values and the FN curves for different scenarios are presented in Section
12.7.2 of Appendix 10.1. The cumulative
frequency F falls into ˇ°ALARPˇ± region. Further analysis has been conducted to
demonstrate the risk as low as reasonably practicable.
Potential Loss of Life (PLL)
10.5.4 The
Potential Loss of Life (PLL) value is the summation of the product of each f-N
pair. The Breakdown PLL values under construction and operation phases due to
the risk impact from SHWWTW are shown in Section 12.7.3 of Appendix 10.1. It is predicted that the contribution of PLL of the
Project and SHD Topside Development during both construction and operation
phases is not significant.
10.6.1 As the FN curves fall into ˇ°ALARPˇ± region, a
cost-benefit analysis (CBA) is required to select and justify the most suitable
risk mitigation measure. Details of
the analysis are presented in Section 12.7.5 of Appendix 10.1.
10.7
Conclusion
10.7.1 For
the SHWWTW, QRA has been conducted to account for the cumulative risk posed to the
Project and SHD Topside Development.
10.7.2 The
criterion of Annex 4 of the TM-EIAO for Individual Risk is met with regards to
the hazards to life posed by SHWWTW. The assessment results in Appendix 10.1 show that the societal risk for the impact from SHWWTW
in the construction and operational phases falls within the ALARP region when
compared to the criteria stipulated in the TM-EIAO. A cost-benefit analysis has been
undertaken considering a range of mitigation measures but no mitigation
measures options are cost effective. Nevertheless, precautionary measures for
chlorine released from SHWWTW such as provision of emergency plan for
efficient evacuation including good practice (i.e. adequate training and drills
for construction workers) during construction phase shall be implemented
to further reduce the risk level.