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研究報告

SECTION 5 ASSIMILATIVE CAPACITY CAPITAL STOCK

5.4 Assimilative Capacity of Air (including Noise)
   
5.4.4 Sustainability Appraisal
   
5.4.4.1

Air pollution is possibly Hong Kong's most apparent and pressing environmental issue and one which has implications for the health of the population and the attractiveness of the SAR as a place in which to live and invest. Key sustainability issues with respect to the assimilative capacity of the air are shown in Figure 5.4h.

   
5.4.4.2

In common with other environmental media reviewed in this section, the absolute assimilative capacity of Hong Kong's airsheds is not known. Whilst the setting of AQOs allows for evaluation of the significance of current levels of air quality (based on criteria which relate to health effects), a more detailed understanding of the true assimilative capacity may be helpful in terms of further refining these criteria and targets for air quality in the future. Given the complexities of determining global assimilative capacity for greenhouse gases, it is not possible within the context of this report to draw any conclusions regarding the 'assimilative capacity' in Hong Kong. However, it is appropriate to consider what could be defined as a sustainable contribution in terms of Hong Kong's share of global emissions reduction. The predicted increase in Hong Kong's GHG emissions can be compared with the objectives of the Kyoto Protocol of 1997 which seeks (for Annex I countries) to limit emissions by at least 5% below 1990 levels between the commitment period 2008 to 2012.

   
5.4.4.3

The extent to which Hong Kong can meet climate change objectives will depend upon the types of measures selected to tackle GHG emissions in the strategy adopted (which is currently being addressed by the Greenhouse Gas Emission Control Study) as well as the extent to which the strategy is enforced through legislation, policy, good practice and political will. In this report the consultants suggest that the greatest potential for emissions reduction is through direct means such as fuel switching and efficiency at the emissions source and by indirect means such as reducing consumption of electricity. If emissions from these sources cannot be reduced, then the options will be very limited and large increases in emissions of GHGs are predicted.

   
5.4.4.4 Local environmental quality is also affected extensively in Hong Kong by the prevalence of road transport noise. Although statutory controls are in place to ensure that (most) new housing developments are not located in areas where noise cannot be mitigated below "excessive" levels, around 15% of the population is already subject to excessive noise, predominantly from road traffic sources. Although land use change in Hong Kong is relatively rapid when compared with other countries, the exposure of the population to excessive noise will not be significantly altered for many years simply through redevelopment of housing and places of work. A series of measures are needed to address the problem of excessive noise, from more rigorous standards for construction site noise (with greater penalties for offenders and stricter enforcement), through to controls on noise emissions from vehicles (already subject to some control through the Road Traffic Ordinance, Cap 374) and possibly traffic management measures to reduce road traffic noise at source.
   
5.4.4.5 Trends in air pollutant emissions within Hong Kong suggest that significant action will be needed to prevent further loss of assimilative capacity. The transport sector is a major source of air pollution within Hong Kong and whilst measures to switch fuel sources for taxis and light buses from diesel to LPG will bring some benefits, unrestricted growth in private traffic and commercial vehicles poses a long term threat to air quality. A strategic approach to policies and measures for emissions reductions in the transport and other relevant sectors is needed to tackle the causes of the pollution problem, and sector-wide initiatives such as energy efficiency (see Section 3.6), demand management and fuel switching offer potential economic and environmental benefits.
   
5.4.4.6 The regional air quality situation is also of concern. Whilst efforts have been made to liaise and co-operate with planning and environmental protection authorities in Guangdong to tackle pollution issues, the scale of the problem requires renewed impetus, as expressed in the 1999 policy address in which a number of co-operative measures were announced including a regional air quality study to help formulate long term measures to prevent pollution.
   
5.4.4.7 Without an appropriate strategic response (and political commitment) to the issue of worsening air quality, a continued increase in the incidence of respiratory illness and other health effects is likely, together with worsening visibility from photochemical pollution. These effects increase the social and economic burden of pollution and as air quality declines and receives further media attention, it is possible that tourism will decline and Hong Kong will become less attractive to companies and individuals seeking to locate and invest in the SAR. It is also conceivable that without a strategic approach, worsening air quality will result in ever-tighter emissions controls on existing and new industrial and commercial developments placing a financial burden on commerce as expensive pollutant abatement technologies become necessary. Pursuing reactive rather than proactive measures to control or mitigate pollution is not a sustainable path since it is both resource inefficient and uneconomic, pushing up regulatory and permitting costs for business, and potentially acting to limit future growth.

 

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最近修訂日期: 二零零五年十二月二十二日