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研究報告

SECTION 5 ASSIMILATIVE CAPACITY CAPITAL STOCK

5.4 Assimilative Capacity of Air (including Noise)
   
5.4.3 Impacts and Resource Constraints
   
5.4.3.1

Air pollution problems in Hong Kong are largely a function of both substantial local emission sources, such as vehicles and power plants, and seasonally varying trans-boundary pollution transfers. Regional movements of pollutants in the atmosphere, in particular from the Pearl River Delta region, have an impact on ambient pollution levels in Hong Kong which tend to be elevated during the winter months when northerly winds prevail. For example, air quality data for 1995 (China Environment Yearbook) suggest that concentrations of SO2 in Guangzhou are 2-3 times those of Hong Kong levels and TSP concentrations are around twice those of the SAR. These higher levels of pollution can be attributed to the greater use of coal, higher sulphur content in fuel and significant levels of pollution from the growing source of road vehicles. Indeed, it has been reported that as a result of increasing volumes of traffic, ambient concentrations of nitrogen dioxide in Shenzhen and Guangzhou are increasing by 20% and 10% respectively per annum and particulates are estimated to be increasing by 15% per annum principally due to industrial activity (Plan D 1993b).

   
5.4.3.2

In Hong Kong whilst ambient levels of SO2 and lead have declined in recent years and are now of less concern for air quality, trends in the data show that TSP, RSP and NO2 are the major contributors to air quality problems in Hong Kong. These three pollutants show a historical pattern of non-compliance with AQOs in a number of locations and if recent trends are sustained, breaches at additional sites are predicted within the next few years (Territory Wide Air Quality Modelling Study). In addition, whilst there were no breaches of AQOs for ozone in 1998, there were two exceedences in 1996 and annual average levels have steadily increased in the last 8 years. The trend of increased ozone levels and more frequent violations of the hourly ozone limit, suggests that photochemical pollution is likely to be of increasing concern in Hong Kong. Problems of urban smog formation are already evident through reduced visibility in the territory on many days in the year.

   
5.4.3.3

The data on air pollution therefore suggest that the air in many urban parts of Hong Kong may be approaching the natural assimilative capacity, although further study would be needed to quantify such capacity. A number of air pollution hotspots can also be identified in the densest parts of Kowloon and Hong Kong Island. A significant proportion of the criteria and toxic air pollutants of concern are emitted by road vehicles and this source can be identified as the sector contributing most significantly to the decline in assimilative capacity, and to these hotspot areas. The local and territory-wide effects of road traffic emissions on air quality are presently of concern and are predicted to be the single most important source of air quality problems in future planning horizons. Air quality predictions undertaken by ERM using the PATH model for CTS-3 (WSA 1999) have indicated that air pollution will continue to increase in future years without further control measures.

   
5.4.3.4 A measurable impact arising from declining air quality has been manifested in a high incidence of respiratory problems among the urban population. The most significant air pollutant in terms of its effects on the human respiratory function is RSP, or Respirable Suspended Particulates. These are very small particulate matter (not exceeding 10 um in diameter and thus often referred to as PM10) which are inhaled into the lungs and which often remain attached to lung tissue (particularly the smaller particles less than 2.5 um wide). These particles can result in damage to lung tissue causing long term disorders of the pulmonary functions, increased infant mortality and lung cancer. The effects are most marked as a result of long term exposure to RSP, of which the principal source in Hong Kong is road transport emissions, particularly from diesel engined vehicles which account for nearly 70% of vehicle kilometres travelled (HKSARG 1999). Those groups which appear to be most sensitive to the effects of RSP include individuals with chronic lung and heart disease, individuals with influenza and asthma and elderly people and children.
   
5.4.3.5 The data suggest a trend that respiratory disease is increasing in significance as a cause of ill health and mortality in Hong Kong. Although influences such as the prevalence of smoking should be accounted for in interpreting health data, recent data from the Department of Heath (DoH 1998) shows that overall smoking prevalence among the population continues to decline.
   
5.4.3.6 The incidence of excessive noise, particularly from transport sources, is also widespread in Hong Kong with around 1 million people affected. Where noise levels are significant enough to cause disturbance to people through, for example, sleep loss, speech disturbance, intrusion in offices and homes and even occupational health impacts, then they must be considered in any assessment of sustainability. Mitigation of noise needs to be considered according to the location, existing noise climate, predicted noise impact and sensitivity of the receiving environment. Noise is also controlled by EPD who enforce the Noise Control Ordinance (Cap 400) to control levels of noise from construction works and industrial installations. Opportunities to design out noise are usually afforded during new construction (eg through insulation of buildings or by design of transport infrastructure to minimise noise impact on surrounding receivers). However, it is only in the long term as land uses change significantly that the widespread incidence of excessive noise levels can be addressed through re-housing. Exposure to excessive noise levels will remain a problem unless significant changes to the patterns and flows of road traffic (the source) are effected.

 

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最近修訂日期: 二零零五年十二月二十二日